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How much are homes really selling for compared to their asking prices?

Updated: 11 hours ago



At Market Stadium, we ranked the Top 20 U.S. housing markets by Sale-to-List Price Ratio — calculated as median sold price ÷ median listing price over the past year.

 

This metric gives us a real-time snapshot of how much pricing power sellers have in each market — and where buyers are paying closest to list.



What We Found:

  • San Francisco leads with a perfect 100% — the only market where median home sales match asking prices.

    → This reflects ultra-tight inventory, high demand, and little room for negotiation.

  • North Port, Raleigh, Myrtle Beach, and San Diego all hover around 89–90%, showing strong seller-side momentum.

  • Florida metros dominate the list, with 6 of the Top 20 markets — including Tampa, Cape Coral, Orlando, and Jacksonville.

  • Denver, Riverside, and Las Vegas also rank high, suggesting continued competitiveness in Western metros.

  • Markets at the bottom of the Top 20 (Seattle, Portland, Hartford) still show solid ratios around 81%, but with slightly more room for negotiation



These price ratios were calculated using 12 months of combined listing and sales data, giving a clearer view of real-world pricing trends – beyond just asking prices.



Food for Thought:

In a market full of headlines, it’s the closing price that counts.

When buyers start paying closer to ask, it’s more than just demand — it’s confidence. And confidence tends to cluster — around jobs, inventory, and long-term fundamental.



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Dennis Lee

CEO at Market Stadium

Prev. Lionstone Investments Research Team



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